💻 MSFT - Microsoft Corporation

Technology | Excellent Financial Health

Current Price
$367.34
Last Updated: Jun 22, 2026, 09:41 PM EST

📈 Price Chart & Technical Levels Bullish Bearish Entry Stop Target

🔴
SELL
Overall Score: 50.3/100
2/4 paths bullish, 2/4 bearish, 0/4 neutral.
Bearish structure break (BOS)
⚠️ System Alerts:
🚨 Bearish structure break (BOS)

📊 Technical

Weight: 35%
20/100
🔴🔴 STRONG_SELL

🧠 Fundamental

Weight: 35%
85/100
STRONG_BUY

📰 News

Weight: 20%
36.1/100
SELL

📈 Sentiment

Weight: 10%
63/100
BUY

Signal & Plan

🔴 SELL

Action: SELL

Entry Zone: $365.5 - $369.18
Stop Loss: $379.09
Targets: $349.71 | $343.84 | $332.09
Risk/Reward: 1:1.5

Key Signals Triggered

  • ▸ ⚠️ ADX: 20.1 (Weak trend)
  • ▸ Stochastic: OVERSOLD
  • ▸ OBV: BEARISH
  • ▸ Confluence SELL_ZONE (strength:10) at $357.92

Signal & Plan

🟡 WEAK_BUY

Entry Target Zone:

$355.0 - $362.1

Target Discount: 3.4% below current price

Fundamental Drivers

  • ▸ Financial Health: Excellent
  • ▸ ROIC: 26.86%
  • ▸ DCF Fair Value: $292.31
  • ▸ Altman Z-Score: 7.71
  • ▸ Institutional: Net institutional accumulation (Buying).
  • ▸ Quant Score: 85/100. BUY - Driven by massive valuation premium but strong balance sheet.
📊

Technical Analysis

🔴🔴 STRONG_SELL

Confidence: VERY_HIGH

RSI
30.96
MACD
BEARISH_ACCELERATING
ADX
20.13
Stochastic
0.31

Key Insights

  • ✅ High Volume (156%)
  • ✅ Stochastic Oversold (0.3)
  • ⛔ OBV confirms downtrend
  • MACD bearish_accelerating
  • ✅ Composite: STRONG_SELL
  • ℹ️ Signal downgraded: STRONG_SELL → SELL (RR 1.51 < 2.5)
Support
$355
Current
$367.34
Resistance
$550
Entry Zone (Optimal: $367.34)
$365.5 - $369.18
Stop Loss
$379.09
🧠

Quantitative Model (Fundamentals)

BUY
Quant Score: 85/100

Quant Score: 85/100. BUY - Driven by massive valuation premium but strong balance sheet.

Smart Quant Metrics

DCF Fair Value
$292.31
Altman Z-Score
7.71
ROIC
26.86%
Revenue CAGR
12.42%

AI NLP Insights

💎 Valuation

Even with an aggressive 15% growth assumption, the stock trades at a massive 26% premium to its DCF Fair Value of $292.31. ⚠️ Note: The current $367.34 price requires flawless future execution to justify.

🚀 Growth

Over the last 3 years, Revenue grew at a CAGR of 12.42%, while Net Income changed by 11.87% annually. 📊 Solid tandem growth across both top and bottom lines.

💰 Profitability

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) stands at 26.86%. ✅ Excellent capital allocation.

🛡️ Risk & Solvency

The balance sheet indicates a Safe (Strong) 🟢 with an Altman Z-Score of 7.71. Debt levels and liquidity are well-managed.

Risk Factors

  • No critical risks detected
  • No target with RR >= 1.5 (best available: 1:0.32)
  • High volatility: ATR=12.4 (3.38% of price)
  • Low RR at TP1: 1:0.23 (min required: 1:1.5)
📰

News Analysis

🟠
Overall Sentiment
Moderately Negative
Score
3.8/10
Total Articles
3

Executive Summary: Analyzed 3 relevant financial articles from the past 48 hours. Overall sentiment is Moderately Negative (3.8/10). News importance is Medium with moderately relevant coverage. 📉 Potential -1% to -3% downside.

Top Headlines

Chevron-Microsoft sign 20-year deal to power $7B Texas data center project
🟢
📅 14h ago 📰 Seeking Alpha 💭 Positive
Sitewide Sale: Create a Free Seeking Alpha AccountJoin the world's leading investor community and get 20% off your first year of any Seeking Alpha service. Sitewide Sale: Create a Free Seeking Alpha AccountJoin the world's leading investor community and get 20% off your first year of any Seeking Alp
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT): One of the Best Falling Stocks Despite Getting Out of Oracle Data Center Deal - Yahoo Finance
🔴
📅 Jun 20 📰 Yahoo Finance 💭 Negative
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT): One of the Best Falling Stocks Despite Getting Out of Oracle Data Center Deal Yahoo Finance
Microsoft, Satya Nadella And The Most Polite Admission in Tech - Trefis
🔴
📅 12h ago 📰 google_news 💭 Negative
Microsoft, Satya Nadella And The Most Polite Admission in Tech Trefis
📈

Market Sentiment

Institutional Activity

1.19%

Net institutional accumulation (Buying).

Short Interest

1.19%

Low bearish bets.

Insider Activity

0

No executive trades

⚠️ INVESTMENT DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. NOT financial advice. We are not licensed financial advisors. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Stock investing involves risk of loss.

Investment Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure →

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