đŸ’ģ MSFT - Microsoft Corporation

Technology | Excellent Financial Health

Current Price
$415.12
Last Updated: May 10, 2026, 08:21 AM EST

📈 Price Chart & Technical Levels Bullish Bearish Entry Stop Target

🔴
SELL
Overall Score: 54.9/100
3/4 paths bullish, 1/4 bearish, 0/4 neutral.
Strong SELL confluence zone (strength:10) at $411.82 | Bullish structure break (BOS)
⚠ī¸ System Alerts:
🚨 Strong SELL confluence zone (strength:10) at $411.82
🚨 Bullish structure break (BOS)

📊 Technical

Weight: 35%
18/100
🔴🔴 STRONG_SELL

🧠 Fundamental

Weight: 35%
85/100
STRONG_BUY

📰 News

Weight: 20%
62.8/100
BUY

📈 Sentiment

Weight: 10%
63/100
BUY

Signal & Plan

🔴 SELL

Action: SELL

Entry Zone: $413.04 - $417.2
Stop Loss: $428.4
Targets: $395.2 | $388.56 | $375.28
Risk/Reward: 1:1.5

Key Signals Triggered

  • ▸ ⚠ī¸ ADX: 20.0 (Weak trend)
  • ▸ Stochastic: BEARISH_CROSS
  • ▸ OBV: BULLISH
  • ▸ Confluence SELL_ZONE (strength:10) at $411.82

Signal & Plan

đŸŸĸ BUY

Entry Target Zone:

$413.04 - $417.2

Target Discount: Near current price

Fundamental Drivers

  • ▸ Financial Health: Excellent
  • ▸ ROIC: 26.86%
  • ▸ DCF Fair Value: $292.31
  • ▸ Altman Z-Score: 8.48
  • ▸ Institutional: Net institutional accumulation (Buying).
  • ▸ Quant Score: 85/100. BUY - Driven by massive valuation premium but strong balance sheet.
📊

Technical Analysis

🔴🔴 STRONG_SELL

Confidence: VERY_HIGH

RSI
53.9
MACD
BEARISH_ACCELERATING
ADX
19.97
Stochastic
47.94

Key Insights

  • ⚠ī¸ Weak Trend (ADX: 20.0)
  • ⛔ Stochastic Bearish Cross (47.9)
  • ✅ OBV confirms uptrend
  • 📊 At Fibonacci 23.6% (0.37% away)
  • MACD bearish_accelerating
  • ✅ Composite: SELL
  • ℹī¸ Signal downgraded: STRONG_SELL → SELL (RR 1.50 < 2.5)
Support
$380
Current
$415.12
Resistance
$460
Entry Zone (Optimal: $415.12)
$413.04 - $417.2
Stop Loss
$428.4
🧠

Quantitative Model (Fundamentals)

BUY
Quant Score: 85/100

Quant Score: 85/100. BUY - Driven by massive valuation premium but strong balance sheet.

Smart Quant Metrics

DCF Fair Value
$292.31
Altman Z-Score
8.48
ROIC
26.86%
Revenue CAGR
12.42%

AI NLP Insights

💎 Valuation

Even with an aggressive 15% growth assumption, the stock trades at a massive 42% premium to its DCF Fair Value of $292.31. ⚠ī¸ Note: The current $415.12 price requires flawless future execution to justify.

🚀 Growth

Over the last 3 years, Revenue grew at a CAGR of 12.42%, while Net Income changed by 11.87% annually. 📊 Solid tandem growth across both top and bottom lines.

💰 Profitability

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) stands at 26.86%. ✅ Excellent capital allocation.

🛡ī¸ Risk & Solvency

The balance sheet indicates a Safe (Strong) đŸŸĸ with an Altman Z-Score of 8.48. Debt levels and liquidity are well-managed.

Risk Factors

  • ⚠ī¸ Weak trend — ADX 20.0 < 20, signal less reliable
  • No target with RR >= 1.5 (best available: 1:1.19)
  • High volatility: ATR=11.8 (2.85% of price)
  • Low RR at TP1: 1:0.82 (min required: 1:1.5)
📰

News Analysis

đŸŸĸ
Overall Sentiment
Moderately Positive
Score
6.1/10
Total Articles
4

Executive Summary: Analyzed 4 relevant financial articles from the past 48 hours. Overall sentiment is Moderately Positive (6.1/10). News importance is Low with moderately relevant coverage. ➡ī¸ Minimal impact (Âą0.5% to 1%).

Top Headlines

Microsoft: This Dividend Growth Juggernaut Is Trading Like It's Broken
đŸŸĸ
📅 May 8 📰 seeking_alpha 💭 Positive
Kenneth Cheung/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images Kenneth Cheung/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images Those that follow me know that I rarely talk about the big, popular Technology (XLK) that a lot of investors and analysts follow. Instead, I prioritize high-quality, income-oriented investments. Compa
MSFT Stock Alert: Microsoft Weighs Abandoning Renewable Energy Target as AI Boom Continues - Yahoo Finance
🟡
📅 May 7 📰 Yahoo Finance 💭 Neutral
MSFT Stock Alert: Microsoft Weighs Abandoning Renewable Energy Target as AI Boom Continues Yahoo Finance
After Earnings, Is Microsoft Stock a Buy, a Sell, or Fairly Valued? - Morningstar Canada
đŸŸĸ
📅 May 8 📰 google_news 💭 Positive
After Earnings, Is Microsoft Stock a Buy, a Sell, or Fairly Valued? Morningstar Canada
📈

Market Sentiment

Institutional Activity

1.12%

Net institutional accumulation (Buying).

Short Interest

1.12%

Low bearish bets.

Insider Activity

0

No executive trades

⚠ī¸ INVESTMENT DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. NOT financial advice. We are not licensed financial advisors. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Stock investing involves risk of loss.

Investment Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure →