⚡ TSLA - Tesla Inc.

Consumer Cyclical | Excellent Financial Health

Current Price
$405.05
Last Updated: Jun 22, 2026, 09:39 PM EST

📈 Price Chart & Technical Levels Bullish Bearish Entry Stop Target

🟠
WEAK_SELL
Overall Score: 43.3/100
1/4 paths bullish, 2/4 bearish, 1/4 neutral.
Strong SELL confluence zone (strength:10) at $404.51 | Bullish structure break (BOS)
⚠️ System Alerts:
🚨 Strong SELL confluence zone (strength:10) at $404.51
🚨 Bullish structure break (BOS)

📊 Technical

Weight: 35%
33/100
🔴 SELL

🧠 Fundamental

Weight: 35%
45/100
WEAK_SELL

📰 News

Weight: 20%
47.7/100
HOLD

📈 Sentiment

Weight: 10%
65/100
BUY

Signal & Plan

🟠 WEAK_SELL

Action: WAIT

Reason: Mixed comprehensive signals (Score: 38.9). Wait for clear alignment.

Watch Buy At
$290
Watch Sell At
$500

Key Signals Triggered

  • ▸ ⚠️ ADX: 16.5 (Weak trend)
  • ▸ OBV: BULLISH
  • ▸ Confluence SELL_ZONE (strength:10) at $404.51

Signal & Plan

⚪ HOLD

Entry Target Zone:

$290.0 - $295.8

Target Discount: 28.4% below current price

Fundamental Drivers

  • ▸ Financial Health: Excellent
  • ▸ ROIC: 4.54%
  • ▸ DCF Fair Value: $106.21
  • ▸ Altman Z-Score: 18.13
  • ▸ Institutional: Net institutional accumulation (Buying).
  • ▸ Quant Score: 45/100. HOLD - Driven by massive valuation premium but strong balance sheet.
📊

Technical Analysis

🔴 SELL

Confidence: HIGH

RSI
48.92
MACD
BEARISH
ADX
16.5
Stochastic
46.59

Key Insights

  • ⚠️ Weak Trend (ADX: 16.5)
  • ✅ OBV confirms uptrend
  • 📊 Near Fibonacci 200.0% (0.69% away)
  • MACD bearish
  • ℹ️ Signal downgraded: SELL → MODERATE SELL (RR 1.66 < 1.8)
Support
$290
Current
$405.05
Resistance
$500
Trader Watch Buy At
$290
Trader Watch Sell At
$500
🧠

Quantitative Model (Fundamentals)

HOLD
Quant Score: 45/100

Quant Score: 45/100. HOLD - Driven by massive valuation premium but strong balance sheet.

Smart Quant Metrics

DCF Fair Value
$106.21
Altman Z-Score
18.13
ROIC
4.54%
Revenue CAGR
5.19%

AI NLP Insights

💎 Valuation

Even with an aggressive 30% growth assumption, the stock trades at a massive 281% premium to its DCF Fair Value of $106.21. ⚠️ Note: The current $405.05 price requires flawless future execution to justify.

🚀 Growth

Over the last 3 years, Revenue grew at a CAGR of 5.19%, while Net Income changed by -32.94% annually. 📊 Warning: Top-line growth is not translating to bottom-line profits (Margin compression).

💰 Profitability

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) stands at 4.54%. ⚠️ Note: The company is currently struggling to generate high returns on its capital base.

🛡️ Risk & Solvency

The balance sheet indicates a Safe (Strong) 🟢 with an Altman Z-Score of 18.13. Debt levels and liquidity are well-managed.

Risk Factors

  • ⚠️ MODERATE signal — Higher risk, for experienced traders only
  • ⚠️ Weak trend — ADX 16.5 < 20, signal less reliable
  • No target with RR >= 1.5 (best available: 1:0.82)
  • High volatility: ATR=18.4 (4.54% of price)
  • Low RR at TP1: 1:0.76 (min required: 1:1.5)
📰

News Analysis

🟡
Overall Sentiment
Neutral
Score
4.8/10
Total Articles
5

Executive Summary: Analyzed 5 relevant financial articles from the past 48 hours. Overall sentiment is Neutral (4.8/10). News importance is Medium with highly relevant coverage. ➡️ Minimal impact (±0.5% to 1%).

Top Headlines

TSLA, PLTR and NVDA Forecasts – Major Stocks Trying to Rise Early on Monday - FXEmpire
🟡
📅 12h ago 📰 google_news 💭 Neutral
TSLA, PLTR and NVDA Forecasts – Major Stocks Trying to Rise Early on Monday FXEmpire
TSLA Stock Rises Overnight: Analyst Sees Q2 Delivery Beat, Says SPCX Merger Buzz Is Limiting Downside Risk - TradingView
🟡
📅 Jun 18 📰 google_news 💭 Neutral
TSLA Stock Rises Overnight: Analyst Sees Q2 Delivery Beat, Says SPCX Merger Buzz Is Limiting Downside Risk TradingView
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Could Be 31.9% Undervalued After AI Spending Rise And FSD Scrutiny - simplywall.st
🟡
📅 Jun 21 📰 google_news 💭 Neutral
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Could Be 31.9% Undervalued After AI Spending Rise And FSD Scrutiny simplywall.st
📈

Market Sentiment

Institutional Activity

2.05%

Net institutional accumulation (Buying).

Short Interest

2.30%

Low bearish bets.

Insider Activity

0

No executive trades

⚠️ INVESTMENT DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. NOT financial advice. We are not licensed financial advisors. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Stock investing involves risk of loss.

Investment Disclaimer & Risk Disclosure →

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